Monday, July 23, 2007

Road Trip Probabilities

I'm being lazy again and just using Baseball Prospectus's AEQR and AEQRA from their adjusted standings page:

Road Trip

While the Cardinals have 4 more wins and 8 less losses than the Reds, their raw stats suggest that they are pretty close in overall talent. It might be tempting to think that the Crew should beat these guys up, but a 4-4 or 5-3 road trip would be about what's expected.

2 Comments:

Blogger Treego said...

Well, I'd settle for 3-5 on this trip at this point. The Brewers just struggle mightily if the ballpark is not named Miller.

8:55 PM  
Blogger rluzinski said...

I wouldn't have guessed a 2-6 road trip but i also wouldn't have guessed that the bullpen would have squandered almost very lead it was given. Sometimes you just have to chalk things up as just a bad run of events.

12:48 AM  

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