Tuesday, January 03, 2006

Ben Sheets is Own Worst Enemy?

A comment from my "Run Support" post suggested that Ben Sheets has (atleast partly) himself to blame for the poor run support he's had during his career as a Brewer. I am very skepticle of that for two reasons:

1. Almost no pitcher can hit worth a lick

2. A starting pitcher is going to account for less than 1/9th of the total offense anyway.

Let's look at how many runs below average Sheets has been in his career, offensively. I'll use the very rough "basic runs created" equation:

G AB AVE OBP SLG OPS B-RC

NL P, 05 -- 288 .150 .164 .190 .354 9.0
Sheets 142 288 .083 .129 .087 .216 3.3
-------------------
Diff: 5.7

So, over the course of Sheets' 149 career starts, he's been somewhere around 6 runs below average. Even if you doubled that estimate, it's pretty insignificant. The average pitcher just plain stinks offensively.

1 Comments:

Blogger Jacob WI said...

hey russ,

it's skeptical not skepticle, and neat study (though my comment about sheets being his own worst enemy was meant as a joke).

2:20 PM  

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