Series Win Probabilities - PIT @ MIL
Three blown saves by Turnbow turned an impressive 6-3 road trip to a depressing 3-6 disappointment. My beloved Brewers currently sit at 47 – 52 and 5 games back in the wild card standings. Even finishing with a winning record will prove to be a challenge at this point. Crew will have to finish the season 35 – 28 in order to get that 82nd win and at least psychologically build onto last year’s modest success.
The Brewers need a sweep and Davis, Sheets and Capuano will be the ones who will have to do it. My probability calculations give them about a one in five chance of doing it, but you have to believe that the big three ups the odds a bit. I’ll be attending Tuesday to see Ben’s return, so that has to be good for at least an extra 1% chance.
Requesting a sweep is never a good idea but desperate times call for desperate measures!