Thursday, August 30, 2007

A Long Slide

From Baseball Prospect's PECOTA adjusted playoff odds report:

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The crazy thing is how much the last two games against the Cubs have affected the Brewers' odds of making the playoffs:

Before Game 1: 24.7%
After Game 1: 17.5%
After Game 2: 25.7%

With the Cardinals having already lost today, the difference between a win and a lose for the Brewers tonight will be something like 15% on the the their playoff odds.

Must win?


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