2007 Projected Lineup
1. Koskie is done. At this point, who knows but it at least needs to be planned for if it does. Hall gets handed the everyday 3B position. Hardy gets SS.
2. Melvin comes to his senses regarding Mench. He's not a #4 hitter. He's probably not even an everyday player.
3. Melvin can't deal Jenkins. I'm sure he'll try but I just can't see it happening. This sets up a Jenkins/Mench platoon in RF. Hart is given LF full time.
4. Melvin decides Gwynn needs some more development time in AAA and hands the everyday CF job to Gross. He'll have to sink or swing against lefties, which is going to bring his overall numbers down some.
4. Miller's option is picked up but his best days are behind him and Rivera will have to start 3 times a week. I just can't see Melvin being able to upgrade at this position.
I could be wrong with many of those assumptions but here's the resulting lineup:
BA OBP SLG OPSNone of those projections are unreasonable (IMO) and I think that still results in a solid lineup. There's also alot of potential there for players to substantially beat those projections (Hall especially). That's the beauty of a young team. This isn't 2002, where you had to worry about most of the lineup regressing.
CF Gross .260 .340 .450 .790
LF Hart .270 .350 .450 .800
2B Weeks .290 .350 .460 .810
1B Fielder .290 .360 .510 .870
3B Hall .270 .330 .510 .840
RF Jenkins/Mench .260 .340 .470 .810
SS Hardy .270 .320 .430 .760
C Miller/Rivera .250 .320 .400 .720
What kind of payroll might we be looking at?
For pitching, I assumed Ohka would be signed to a 2 or 3 year deal at $6 mil per but it's really hard to guess at this point. I also assumed that Davis would be offered arbitration and I'm more confident of that prediction. I didn't add any free agent signings to the bullpen (although I have Melvin resigning Shouse) but since Mark A. is on record with a $70 mil payroll for next year, there's certainly money to upgrade there are somewhere else.
What's your vote? Bullpen? Corner outfielder? Starting pitcher?