Tuesday, July 25, 2006

Team Contact Percentage

A request was made at brewerfan.net to look at teams' contact rate to runs scored. I had looked at this at the individual level a few months a ago but I'm going to use a different definition of "contact percentage" this time. Last time I looked BIP per PA, which unfairly penalizes players/teams that walk a alot. Instead, I'll treat walks, HBP and SH as a neutral even and use this for contact percent:

CONT% = (AB + SF - K)/AB

For 2006 so far:
TEAM           CONT%   R/GM
Chicago Sox 82.5% 5.66
NY Yankees 83.2% 5.56
Cleveland 81.0% 5.52
Boston 83.0% 5.51
Toronto 85.7% 5.39
Atlanta 79.4% 5.39
NY Mets 81.4% 5.37
Detroit 80.2% 5.25
St. Louis 85.3% 5.01
Minnesota 85.4% 5.01
Cincinnati 80.1% 5.01
Texas 81.9% 4.96
Arizona 84.4% 4.95
Philadelphia 79.4% 4.95
LA Dodgers 83.9% 4.94
Baltimore 85.4% 4.83
Seattle 84.2% 4.79
LA Angels 84.2% 4.75
San Francisco 85.2% 4.75
Colorado 81.1% 4.74
Milwaukee 78.3% 4.72
Florida 77.4% 4.64
San Diego 81.0% 4.61
Washington 81.0% 4.60
Pittsburgh 80.6% 4.55
Kansas City 82.4% 4.52
Houston 81.7% 4.52
Oakland 82.5% 4.45
Tampa Bay 80.5% 4.33
Chicago Cubs 84.7% 4.12
So, while the Brewers have the second worst CONT%, there are 9 teams that scored less runs per game than them (including the team with the worst contact percentage).

To get a clearer picture of how contact percentage might affect runs scored, let's see how well they coorelate to each other:



There's simply no simple, statistical connection between the two. Of course that just tells us two things that we already know:

1. Most players who strikeout a lot make up for it in other ways. If they didn't they wouldn't be in the league.

2. In the long run, a strikeout realy isn't much worse than any other kind of out.

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

What are you saying in your second point? Is there ANY suggestion that strikeouts are worse than other outs; or are you saying they are NOT worse than other outs?

12:07 PM  
Blogger rluzinski said...

Strikeouts are only slightly worse than a BIP out in an average situation.

10:52 AM  

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