Tuesday, April 11, 2006

Brewer's Pythagorean Record, 4/11

Because it's never too early to use a small sample, I thought I'd see how many wins the Brewers should have based on their base stats. I used BaseRuns to calculate expected "runs scored" and "runs against". I used Pythagopat (RPG^.287) to calculate the expected record. I'll put the actual values in parenthesis, for reference:

Games = 7
RS= 32 (27)
RA= 22 (27)
Record = 4.6-2.4 (5-2)

The Brewers have been unlucky in terms of scoring and giving up runs, but lucky with regard to their actual record.

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