Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Batting Order Protection & The Value of Speed on the Basepaths

This slideshow is from Mark Pankin's presentation at the the 1993 SABR Convention (PDF):

Subtle Aspects of the Game

His conclusions on lineup protection:

STRENGTH OF FOLLOWING HITTER HAS ONLY SLIGHT EFFECT ON BATTING PERFORMANCE

• BATTING AND SLUGGING AVERAGES NOT AFFECTED
• SLIGHTLY MORE WALKS WHEN WEAKER HITTERS NEXT
• HIGHER BATTING AVERAGES AND MORE NON-INTENTIONAL WALKS WHEN PITCHER FOLLOWS


And having speed on the basepaths:

FASTER BATTERS AND RUNNERS HAVE STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT ADVANTAGES

• MORE LIKELY TO ADVANCE FURTHER ON HITS
• AVOID SOME DOUBLE PLAYS
• REACH BASE MORE OFTEN ON ERRORS


Nothing that's not considered common knowlege these days but it's presented clearly and simply. Good linking material.

1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Instead of saying most/many differences are significant in his first 8 pages of charts, the guy should show * or something to signify significance. I know it's not your work, but that really would make the presentation tighter and clear.

If the guy actually did the work to ID sig. diffs. then he may as well show them in his charts. Why tell the people, "yeah, I know what happened, but I'm not gonna make it so you can see it."

Complaint over.

7:36 PM  

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