Thursday, August 30, 2007

A Long Slide

From Baseball Prospect's PECOTA adjusted playoff odds report:

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The crazy thing is how much the last two games against the Cubs have affected the Brewers' odds of making the playoffs:

Before Game 1: 24.7%
After Game 1: 17.5%
After Game 2: 25.7%

With the Cardinals having already lost today, the difference between a win and a lose for the Brewers tonight will be something like 15% on the the their playoff odds.

Must win?

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Series Probabilties: 8/28

Series Probabilities
We are at that point in the year when it's fair to say that a particular series is huge. This is one of them...

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Percentage of Fastballs By Lineup Position

Compliments of Dewan's "Stat of the Week":

Which batting slot gets the most fastballs?

There's a difference but not a big one. In the NL, the difference between the percentage of fastballs a lead off hitter gets compared to the #4 hitter is 6%, or about an extra fastball every 5 AB.

Monday, August 20, 2007

Playoffs!? Are You Kidding Me!?

The Brewers aren't:





$1,600 for two terrace level tickets to each playoff game at Miller Park? Sold! And while it might not feel like it, a win tonight puts the Brewers back into first place (they'd be tied with the Cubs but I wouldn't complain). One game at a time.

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Joe Dillon Called Up

The Brewers send down Weeks and call up an intriguing career minor leaguer:

Brewers send Weeks to Class AAA Nashville

Here's what Dillon has done over his last three AAA seasons:

Joe Dillon

Not bad for a guy who retired five years ago. At almost 32 years of age, a prospect he is not but he might be that right handed pinch hitter the Brewers have been needing. He'll probably also get the occasional start in LF, 3B and 1B.

As for Weeks, let's hope he can figure things out in AAA and get back by September.